Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ISELLE-14 in United States from 31 Jul 2014 21:00 UTC to 08 Aug 2014 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ISELLE-14

in United States

08 Aug 2014 03 UTC

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Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ISELLE-14 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	5 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (08 Aug 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	121 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	222 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

121 km/h Current Max.

Up to 130000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	31 Jul 2014 21:00	130	No people	No people
2	01 Aug 2014 03:00	130	No people	No people
3	01 Aug 2014 09:00	130	No people	No people
4	01 Aug 2014 15:00	138	No people	No people
5	01 Aug 2014 21:00	130	No people	No people
6	02 Aug 2014 03:00	138	No people	No people
7	02 Aug 2014 09:00	138	No people	No people
8	02 Aug 2014 15:00	138	No people	No people
9	02 Aug 2014 21:00	167	No people	No people
10	03 Aug 2014 03:00	185	No people	No people
11	03 Aug 2014 09:00	175	No people	No people	United States
12	03 Aug 2014 15:00	185	No people	No people	United States
13	03 Aug 2014 21:00	185	No people	No people	United States
14	04 Aug 2014 03:00	175	No people	No people	United States
15	04 Aug 2014 06:00	204	No people	No people	United States
16	04 Aug 2014 09:00	204	No people	No people	United States
17	04 Aug 2014 15:00	222	No people	No people	United States
18	04 Aug 2014 21:00	222	No people	No people	United States
19	05 Aug 2014 03:00	212	No people	No people	United States
20	05 Aug 2014 09:00	204	No people	No people	United States
21	05 Aug 2014 15:00	204	No people	140 thousand	United States
22	05 Aug 2014 21:00	175	No people	No people	United States
23	06 Aug 2014 03:00	158	No people	No people	United States
24	06 Aug 2014 09:00	158	No people	No people	United States
25	06 Aug 2014 15:00	138	No people	No people	United States
26	06 Aug 2014 17:00	138	No people	No people	United States
27	06 Aug 2014 21:00	148	No people	8 thousand	United States
28	07 Aug 2014 03:00	148	No people	150 thousand	United States
29	07 Aug 2014 09:00	148	No people	170 thousand	United States
30	07 Aug 2014 15:00	130	No people	160 thousand	United States
31	07 Aug 2014 21:00	121	No people	8 thousand	United States
32	08 Aug 2014 03:00	121	No people	130 thousand	United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	7/31/2014 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	12.7, -122.3
2	8/1/2014 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	13.2, -123.9
3	8/1/2014 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	13.5, -124.6
4	8/1/2014 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	14.1, -125.7
5	8/1/2014 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	14.5, -126.4
6	8/2/2014 3:00:00 AM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	14.7, -127.3
7	8/2/2014 9:00:00 AM	Category 1	130	no people	no people	14.8, -128.4
8	8/2/2014 3:00:00 PM	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15, -129.2
9	8/2/2014 9:00:00 PM	Category 2	158	no people	no people	15.1, -130.1
10	8/3/2014 3:00:00 AM	Category 2	175	no people	no people	15.2, -131
11	8/3/2014 9:00:00 AM	Category 2	175	no people	no people	15.3, -131.8
12	8/3/2014 3:00:00 PM	Category 3	185	no people	no people	15.5, -132.8
13	8/3/2014 9:00:00 PM	Category 3	185	no people	no people	15.7, -133.7
14	8/4/2014 3:00:00 AM	Category 2	175	no people	no people	15.9, -134.8
15	8/4/2014 6:00:00 AM	Category 3	204	no people	no people	16, -135.2
16	8/4/2014 9:00:00 AM	Category 3	204	no people	no people	16, -135.6
17	8/4/2014 3:00:00 PM	Category 4	222	no people	no people	16.2, -136.5
18	8/4/2014 9:00:00 PM	Category 4	222	no people	no people	16.1, -137.4
19	8/5/2014 3:00:00 AM	Category 4	212	no people	no people	16, -138
20	8/5/2014 9:00:00 AM	Category 3	204	no people	no people	15.9, -138.6
21	8/5/2014 3:00:00 PM	Category 3	204	no people	no people	16, -139.5
22	8/5/2014 9:00:00 PM	Category 2	175	no people	no people	16.4, -140.5
23	8/6/2014 3:00:00 AM	Category 2	158	no people	no people	16.8, -141.6
24	8/6/2014 9:00:00 AM	Category 2	158	no people	no people	16.9, -142.8
25	8/6/2014 3:00:00 PM	Category 1	138	no people	no people	17, -144.5
26	8/6/2014 5:00:00 PM	Category 1	138	no people	no people	16.9, -144.9
27	8/6/2014 9:00:00 PM	Category 1	148	no people	no people	17.2, -145.9
28	8/7/2014 3:00:00 AM	Category 1	148	no people	no people	17.7, -147.5
29	8/7/2014 9:00:00 AM	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.1, -149.1
30	8/7/2014 3:00:00 PM	Category 1	130	no people	no people	18.5, -150.6
31	8/7/2014 9:00:00 PM	Category 1	121	8300 people	170000 people	18.9, -152.2	United States
32	8/8/2014 3:00:00 AM	Category 1	121	130000 people	310000 people	19.1, -153.8	United States
32	8/8/2014 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	101	no people	1.2 million people	19.4, -156.1	United States
32	8/9/2014	Tropical storm	93	no people	2800 people	19.8, -158.8	United States
32	8/9/2014 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	20.3, -161.3
32	8/10/2014	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	20.6, -163.3
32	8/11/2014	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	21.6, -167.8
32	8/12/2014	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	23.5, -173.6
32	8/13/2014	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	26.4, 179.8

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
United States	Hawaii

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Hilo	Hawaii	United States	City	41000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Bradshaw AAF	BSF	1886	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Keahole	KOA	13	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Honuapo		Wake Island
Milolii		Wake Island
Kauhako Bay		Wake Island
Napoopoo		Wake Island
Kailua		Wake Island

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Honuapo, United States. This height is estimated for 08 Aug 2014 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (29 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 36 of 09 Aug 2014 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	08 Aug 2014 11:00	Honuapo	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 11:00	Hilea	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 11:00	Naalehu	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 14:00	Milolii	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 14:00	Papa	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 14:00	Hookena	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 11:00	Kaalualu	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 14:00	Honaunau	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 14:00	Keokea	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 14:00	Kealia	United States	0.2
	08 Aug 2014 14:00	Captain Cook	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 14:00	Napoopao	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 15:00	Sea View	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 07:00	Pohoiki	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 07:00	Koae	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 10:00	Royal Gardens	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 10:00	Kupaahu	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 10:00	Kalapana	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 08:00	Hawaiian Paradise Park	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 08:00	Makuu	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 08:00	Hawaiian Beaches	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 12:00	Waiahukini	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 15:00	Keauhou	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 07:00	Opihikao	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 15:00	Kahaluu	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 16:00	Mahaiula	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 07:00	Wainaku	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 07:00	Paukaa	United States	0.1
	08 Aug 2014 07:00	Hilo	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.